CLIMATE CHANGE AND DISPLACEMENT IN THE 21ST CENTURY. NANSEN CONFERENCE, 6-7 JUNE 2011
Climate Change Displaced persons and Refugees Trackbacks (0)BACKGROUND PAPER
A changing climate forcing people to move
Climate is a key determinant for today’s demography. Climatic conditions change over time due to natural climate variability, but changes in global mean temperature have been relatively small since the end of the last ice age. Now we are on our way to change our climate beyond this natural variability. Climate change is gaining momentum, and the international community is struggling to reach agreement on how to deal with it. Without concerted and decisive action, we face a high risk of environmental and social disruption that would change living conditions fundamentally throughout the globe.
The implications for human welfare and security, and for our strategies for adaptation, disaster risk reduction, humanitarian aid and protection of displaced people, could be far-reaching. There is little doubt that factors such as the deterioration of agricultural land, desertification, reduced access to water and sea-level rise will make parts of the earth less habitable. Such slow-onset change is expected to be the most important driver of human displacement related to climate change in the future. However, the frequency and intensity of sudden-onset hazards such as floods, hurricanes and other extreme weather events are already increasing in accordance with climate model projections.
Such sudden-onset events are having a significant immediate impact and are reason for serious concern...[More]
